Sunday, November 30, 2008
Geithner, Summers, and Volcker: Change We Can Believe In?
Let's quickly summarize our economic situation. The Federal Reserve, riding on the back of the fractional reserve banking system, has managed to print out of thin air enough money to allow US banks to explode to sizes that are "simply too big to fail." The loans that these banks issue are backed by nothing more than a promise to be paid back at a later date. This money, which is not backed by any asset or commodity value, has facilitated unsustainable investment in energy, then technology, and now housing. This mal-investment has produced economic havoc in the form of bankruptcies, foreclosures, bailouts, probable recession, and, thereby, almost certain inflation and monetary collapse. Don't worry everyone, Obama's on the case. He has new people with new plans. Who are these new people? Enter Timothy Geithner, Lawrence Summers, and Paul Volcker. Have you heard these names before. The Obama administration is counting on the fact that you haven't. So who are they?
The most familiar name on the list is Paul Volcker, former Chairman of the Federal Reserve, conservative Keyensian, and promoter of the US's money-as-debt system. His record is well known, and you can find it here.
Timothy Geithner began his career working for the Treasury Department starting in 1988. Yes, the same Treasury Department that bailed out the savings and loan industry because of (sound familiar?) poor real-estate investments and the subsequent collapse of the FSLIC (the Savings and Loan version of the FDIC). "In 1999 he was promoted to Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs and served under Treasury Secretaries Robert Rubin and Lawrence Summers [source]," whom we'll meet shortly. Geithner was again around just in time to enjoy the ".COM" bubble burst. His latest exploits include work for the Council on Foreign Relations (proponents of the North American Union), the International Monetary Fund (the tool of the US Treasury to bailout any country whose corrupt economy threatens to leave their Keynesian dreamland in shambles), and lastly the President of the New York Federal Reserve.
Finally, Summers was one of the prominent spokesmen for the "Commodity Futures Modernization Act, which allowed many derivatives--like the credit default swaps that have rocked markets this fall--to go unregulated." Summers fought hard for the $750 billion dollar bailout and continues to fight hard for another round of bailouts of undetermined size, but certainly in the hundreds of billions. Economist Dean Baker says of Mr. Summers, "the policies he promoted as Treasury Secretary and in his subsequent writings led to the economic disaster that we now face." [Source]
Does this list of appointees sound like a change we can believe in? Does it even sound like a change at all? These men aren't going to rescue our economic situation; these are the men that created our economic situation. One or another of these men have been in active economic or governance rolls for every major economic disaster of the last 40 years.
One could make the argument, "whom could Obama have appointed, who also has the economic credentials to advise a US president and at the same time was not a participant in the calamity? I'm glad you asked. How about picking the gentleman who repeatedly predicted the chaos over and over again, was repeatedly shunned and ridiculed by the media and the so-called economic experts that were, themselves, responsible for the mess. I refer to none other than Peter Schiff. Need proof of his credentials and sheer economic genius? Watch this YouTube video and join me in encouraging Obama to choose the people who predicted the problems not produced the problems:
Friday, November 28, 2008
Milton Friedman's Three Equalities
Like many liberty-minded individuals, I cut my teeth on the work of monetarist, Milton Friedman and specifically his seminal work, "Free to Choose." One of the principle assertions in the book is that of the Three Equalities. Friedman believed that through the course of US history the idea of equality has been anything but static; rather, it is in a constant state of redefinition. As Friedman writes:In the early decades of the Republic, equality meant before God; liberty meant the liberty to shape one's own life. The obvious conflict between the Declaration of Independence and the institution of slavery occupied the center of the stage. That conflict was finally resolved by the Civil War. The debate then moved to a different level. Equality came more and more to be interpreted as "equality of opportunity" in the sense that no one should be prevented by arbitrary obstacles from using his capacities to pursue his own objectives. That is still its dominant meaning to most citizens today. . .
. . . A very different meaning of quality has emerged in the United States in recent decades--equality of outcome. Everyone should have the same level of living or of income, should finish the race at the same time. Equality of outcome is in clear conflict with liberty. The attempt to promote it has been a major source of bigger and bigger government, and of government-imposed restrictions on our liberty.
The persistence of Marxist equality of outcome in modern American thinking is shocking given the repeatedly catastrophic results of this idea on society itself. The list of communist countries who, in one way or another, drove the citizens toward outcome equality in the twentieth century read like a who's who of human rights violators: Albania, Bulgaria, China, Cuba, Czechoslovakia, East Germany, Hungary, Laos, Mongolia, North Korea, Poland, Romania, U.S.S.R., Vietnam, and Yugoslavia. Such is the hubris of mankind: surely it has failed in the past because I was not the one in charge of it, but this time it will be different.
Each decade the failure rate of countries adopting the idea of outcome equality grows. In fact, of the list of fifteen countries in the last paragraph only five remain communist to this day, and the success of China cannot be divorced from it's largely capitalistic economic structure. Two questions remain glaring, however; why does "equality of outcome" persist with such vigor, and why, with so many dedicated to its success, does it continually fail? Surely, a lifetime of scholarship could precede the answers to those two questions; however, the general principle could be resident already in Friedman's initial assertion. If we take each of the three equalities and examine it individually, a potential hypothesis becomes apparent.
Let us suppose that in the first case only transcendent equality exists--equality in the eyes of God or from our birthright, our humanity. If a society were constructed with sole respect to this type of equality, which type of societal model would best fit it? Likely the anarchist or anarcho-capitalist model would best fit (note I'm using anarchist in the academic sense not the colloquial sense). The positivist idea that rights derive from the State would have no place whatsoever, and the logical conclusion would be a society driven by laws enforced, prosecuted, and adjudicated by private enterprise--the free choice of citizens to pay for and trust in objective third-party arbitration. And the so called third-party arbitrator would survive as a business based on the quality of its objectivity and lack of shadowy backdoor dealings, less it be replaced with a more upstanding institution.
On the other hand, let us examine the society that might best fit the adherence to the idea of equality of opportunity. Note Friedman's phrase "arbitrary obstacles" in his description of equality of opportunity. The implication is that there might well be some natural or systemic obstacles. Natural obstacles, as Friedman later points out, might be, for example, that one child is born blind while another has sight. Systemic obstacles might be a tax levied for national defense, a service that benefits all equally but, at the same time, unlike a progressive tax or social welfare mechanism which disproportionately benefits some and not others. Surely natural obstacles, as previously noted, would affect a society based purely on transcendent equality, but certainly no systemic obstacles would exist in a true anarchist or anarcho-capitalist society. So perhaps a system well suited to opportunity equality might be minarchism--very limited government for the sole purpose of protecting citizens from force, violence, and coercion.
We find, therefore, many similarities and overlaps between societies strictly adhering to transcendent and opportunity equality. Both seem to suggest that rights are largely existential but absolute and in no way subjective. However, unlike the natural evolution evident in transcendent and opportunity equality, outcome equality not only promotes but demands intervention from another party. It is without question a different breed, which Friedman makes clear. Socialistic and Communistic systems both have their root in outcome equality. Marx was clear that each gives according to his ability, and each takes according to his need. Abilities may vary among individuals, but unlike human "wants," human "needs" remain of a relatively fixed order. In the best possible case, none go without as long as all give. But those who cannot give ensure that none go for very long with much.
Ardent supporters of outcome equality point to the necessity and perceived moral high ground of benevolence and social responsibility as a means of dealing with the ills brought about by natural and systemic obstacles to equality. Social ills, they claim, require social solutions and society-wide initiatives. The truth, however, is often lost in the language and the implications lost in the details. Ultimately, they provide no apparatus by which society can be induced to participate in any macro-political rescue without first diminishing or removing outright transcendent and opportunity equality. In other words, outcome equality is gained at the expense of individual liberty, is implemented by force, violence, and coercion, and remains, therefore, an ideology so unlike and utterly separate from both transcendent and opportunity equality as to deny that society itself is nothing more than a voluntary cooperation of free individuals. Society, from the "outcome equality" standpoint, is not something that grows but something that is invented, not something alive, but something dead; and we find that death wherever it is implemented.
Equality of outcome persists, therefore, in an ooze of simultaneous disdain for natural obstacles and a willful disregard for any ethical or moral hierarchy--any sense that we are in fact not liberated as we become equal, but that we are equal as we become liberated. We find it good and honorable to help those in need, to give of ourselves for others. But this goal becomes darkened when we must force and coerce others to that end. Rather than rely on compulsion to achieve our goals, we must persuade in open dialogue others to our opinions, using the strength of our arguments. Compulsion from external entities must end and be replaced with an impulse from within. This is the goal of liberty. This is the only true road to equality.
Wednesday, November 26, 2008
Gay Marriage Wins By Losing the Prop. 8 Battle
Over the last several weeks gay-rights proponents have been staging protests and rallies in opposition to the outcome of Prop. 8, the California constitutional amendment banning gay-marriage; these protests, from my standpoint, border on incomprehensible. Rather than protesting the outcome of the Proposition 8 vote, gay-rights activists should be dancing in the streets, and so called traditional married couples should be petitioning for their emancipation.On the surface Prop. 8 appears to simply limit the rights of gay couples to marry; however, from another perspective the Prop. 8 vote in California actually limits the government's power of licensure, hindering its ability to extend marriage licenses. Keep in mind that the legal definition of a license is:
The permission granted by competent authority to exercise a certain privilege that, without such authority, would constitute an illegal act.
In other words, marriage in all fifty states is illegal unless the State grants its permission.
The truth is that the State and Federal government have gone mad with the power of requisite licensing. Without a license citizens of the US cannot fish, hunt, marry, drive, provide health services (even non-medical), or practice law; they cannot manufacture products, build structures, provide retail or wholesale goods, start a business, trade, or be a travel or real-estate agent; in some states even selling flowers, selling your services as an interior designer, or running a public pinball machine are strictly prohibited without a State issued license. The ugly truth is that in many cases licensure is a hidden tax on consumers and a boon to government at the citizens' expense; indeed, marriage licensure alone is a $100,000,000 a year industry--with 2.2+ million marriages per year at an average cost of $44 per license.
And what does the government provide in return? Two things: firstly, it provides the chaos which naturally arises as the state attempts to define the nature of a legally binding contract that it did not initiate but requires by law. And second, it provides subsidies in the form of tax breaks and benefits to married couples. The latter might sound good, but the details are troubling. These tax breaks and benefits are a form of wealth redistribution doled out according to the policy objectives of the State and Federal government and is paid for by everyone while directly benefiting only those who are married.
Further, a state marriage license embroils citizens in undue contractual relationships with the State and sometimes the Federal government. One of the best anti-licensure arguments that I've read comes from a rather unlikely source; Pastor Matt Trewhella writes in a thorough and well-thought-out article addressed specifically to Christians:
When you marry with a marriage license, you grant the State jurisdiction over your marriage. When you marry with a marriage license, your marriage is a creature of the State. It is a corporation of the State! Therefore, they have jurisdiction over your marriage including the fruit of your marriage. What is the fruit of marriage? Your children and every piece of property you own. There is plenty of case law in American jurisprudence which declares this to be true. [source]
Truly, nothing gives the State the right to make illegal the consensual contract of marriage, except for that which the citizens of the states allow. For this reason Prop. 8 was an overwhelming success. It rightfully limited the government's too-often-abused power of licensure.
If there was any problem with Prop. 8, it was that it did not go far enough. Certainly, another amendment is needed in California, and all states for that matter, that would deprive the State of the power to prohibit marriage without its consent. The right of contract is one that ought to belong to the free citizens and to no other. To the gay-rights activists I say, take to the streets, though not in protest, but in celebration; and thank the "traditional" married couples and religious organizations that funded the Vote Yes campaign, for there in lies your protection from overreaching State power.
Monday, November 24, 2008
Is the Stock Market Losing Money or Points?
Much talk is circulating in the press and on the Hill about the trillions of dollars lost in the stock market. However, this statement is not entirely accurate. I don't mean to belittle in any way the depletion of funds in peoples' portfolios, retirement accounts, etc. Indeed, the money, which many Americans were counting on is gone. But to say that it is a dollar loss is misleading and casts the stock market in a light that it simply can't live up to.The truth is that the stock market is almost always a moderate to high risk investment--a gamble, and losses are the tail's side of the coin. The question is not so much whether investors are losing, it's what are they losing?
If we are really losing money--losing cash, then where is all the money going?
The money isn't going to greedy CEOs or your broker; it's not sitting in someone else's account somewhere. Nor has it been returned to the Fed. So where is it?
The fact of the matter is that the profits investors thought they had were imaginary. As long as investor's profits were in stocks, the profit could not be adequately measured in dollars, but, rather, only in the ability to sell the stock--nothing more than the willingness of someone else to buy the stock at the going rate in dollars at a fleeting moment in time. Further, tangible dollars are not lost until the stock value drops below the initial inflation adjusted purchase price.
Historically, the market has performed very well. Maybe too well, and therein lies the problem. Years of shabby financial decisions by the Federal Government has flooded the market with pseudo-capital, which has driven prices to unsustainable levels. The market is pulling back in order to correct the fallacious investment. It is likely to overshoot on the low end as well before settling to a true market rate, and even then only if the government will get out of the way.
Saturday, November 22, 2008
Government Waste
I received a "Notice of Hearing" in the mail today for citizens of Westchester County, NY--just north of New York City. The topic of concern is the $234.7 million dollars in additional spending this year for several coastal towns, spending which the county did not vote to enact, is not budgeted for, and as of this point represents nothing less than debt for the county if the Board cannot raise the funding.How did Westchester acquire this debt? In 1998, the States of New York and Connecticut entered into an agreement with the Environmental Protection Agency. This agreement requires the reduction of nitrogen from sewage treatment plants. Westchester County has repeatedly objected to the unfunded expenditures, but the Federal Government maintains that the agreement is binding and that there will be no Federal aid for the mandate.
According to Westchester County representatives, the only solution to the problem is to begin a Bond initiative in order to woo investors. If the Bond initiative fails, however, Westchester County will face millions of dollars in State and Federal fines and still be forced to comply with the EPA regulations.
So what's the problem? Municipal Bond initiatives remain a mainstay in improvement projects around the country and throughout US history. The issue in this case is the compulsory nature of the regulation. Westchester residents did not rise up in opposition to elevated nitrogen levels and set out to pressure sewage treatment plants to shape up. Rather this is the result of the cart-before-horse environmental lobby standing on the shoulders of the Federal Clean Water Act in order to pass through what they refer to as "much needed" reforms for the preservation of marine wildlife on the Long Island Sound [source].
The truth is that one of the most persistent arguments against free market capitalism in recent decades has been the disincentive for corporations to behave in ways deemed enviornmentally friendly when that behavior runs opposite to the corporation's financial interests. This argument remains so ubiquitous that it almost always goes completely unchallenged. This is a shame given the strength of the opposing argument. Further, I relish the opportunity to address the free market approach with a system as complex as water treatment, because unlike many other industries, you can't just start new sewage treatment plants overnight.
The beauty of the free market argument is that it does not require the lobbyists to find a new line of work, but rather simply change those whom they lobby. Let us suppose, for the sake of argument, that the environmental lobby (EL) is completely accurate when it claims that increased nitrogen levels in the water can be traced primarily to sewage treatment and that it is harmful to marine life. But now let us imagine that the Federal Government behaved according to the strict limits placed on it by the US Constitution. The EL could not count on the the Federal government to tell states and businesses how to run operations. So the EL would be forced to do what it should be doing in the first place, that is rely on the strength of their argument and the persuasive power of their beliefs to convince the people of Westchester County that it is in the best interest of everyone and everything that sewage treatment plants reduce nitrogen levels. If the EL was successful, the people of that state could either vote and budget for the appropriate changes or entrepreneurs could immediately begin working on more economical methods of nitrogen reduction, or both.
The advantage in either case is that the from-the-ground-up approach adequately budgets and creates the means of solving the problem. At worst it is publicly agreed upon and reluctantly funded, and at best it creates new jobs, industry, money, and solves the problem economically for the treatment plants. The top-down approach, however, does none of those things, and, in fact, does the exact opposite. When the Federal Government comes in with a regulation of this kind, the funding is no where in sight; the technology available to reduce the nitrogen is immature and therefore very expensive, and absolutely no jobs are created. As a matter of fact, jobs are likely lost. Why? Because Westchester county must now create a Bond initiative to take on private investment which could be going to fund butchers, and bakers, and, yes, candlestick makers; and, instead, is now funneling those funds to an unexpected, unsupported, and previously funded pit. The reduced nitrogen levels could have been a net gain for Westchester, but instead will be a net loss.
But the marine wildlife is saved either way, right? Perhaps, but it is time to realize the wisdom of the grass-roots approach to activism. Is it better to save the wildlife at the expense of the citizens or to save the wildlife and benefit the citizens? Yes, but what if the citizens decided not to fund the nitrogen reduction? At least with the top-down Federal fiat, the states are forced to adhere and the fish are still saved. My answer, be careful what you wish for. The next Federal government will be voted into power by the people you hurt, not the fish you saved.
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